By Sam Miller, Jason Wojciechowski
The bestselling annual baseball preview from the neatest analysts within the business
Now in its nineteenth variation, the Baseball Prospectus annual indicates once more the way it turned the chief: The 2014 variation comprises key stat different types, extra debatable participant predictions, and the type of clever, witty baseball statement that makes this phone-book-thick tome worthy interpreting hide to cover.
Baseball Prospectus 2014 presents delusion gamers and insiders alike with prescient PECOTA projections, which activities Illustrated has known as ""perhaps the game's so much actual projection model."" nonetheless, stats are only numbers should you don't see the bigger context, and Baseball Prospectus brings jointly an elite workforce of analysts to supply the definitive examine all thirty teams—their avid gamers, their customers, and their managers—to clarify away flukes, scorching streaks, injury-tainted numbers, and park results. Victory, in any case, may possibly come right down to selecting among the meant sleeper and the hyped up clients who won't have the capacity to idiot humans within the convey like they've got down at the farm.
Nearly each major-league staff has sought the recommendation of present or former Prospectus writers, and readers of Baseball Prospectus 2014 will comprehend what all these fanatics were raving about.
""If you're a baseball fan and also you don't comprehend what BP is, you're operating in a mine with out a type of helmets with the lighting fixtures on it.""—Keith Olbermann
""The first time I observed the PECOTA projections, i noticed that somebody in the market understood."" —Jeff Luhnow, basic supervisor, Houston Astros
""For me, each year baseball starts with the large, awesome, appealing booklet you're maintaining on your arms correct now.""—Joe Posnanski
Baseball Prospectus 2013 thoroughly predicted:
*Disappointing performances through Albert Pujols, Dan Haren, Michael Bourn, Justin Upton, and Tommy Hanson.
*Breakouts by way of Paul Goldschmidt, Freddie Freeman, Kyle Seager, Matt Moore, Shelby Miller, and Jason Kipnis, in addition to bounceback seasons from Jayson Werth and Shin-Soo Choo.
*That Max Scherzer will be a Cy younger contender and Michael Wacha ace-in-waiting for the Cardinals.
*That Wil Myers will be a middle-of-the-order bat for Tampa Bay and Josh Donaldson might eventually win the wealthy Harden exchange for the A's.
*That CC Sabathia's speed drop can be a challenge, yet Felix Hernandez's wouldn't be.
*That Joaquin Benoit, Kenley Jansen, and Koji Uehara have been greater bullpen bets than pre-season nearer alternatives Bruce Rondon, Brandon League, and Joel Hanrahan.
Read or Download Baseball Prospectus 2014: The Essential Guide to the 2014 Season PDF
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Additional info for Baseball Prospectus 2014: The Essential Guide to the 2014 Season
One of the first assessments a scout makes is whether the player has a passion to play baseball or if he simply enjoys it because it’s something he’s good at. When a player signs a professional contract, baseball becomes his livelihood. It becomes his life. There are no fancy cars, high-rise suites, or flying first-class in minor league baseball. The money is sparse, the bus rides are long, and players rent small apartments with their teammates. A player must love playing the sport and be determined to work at it in order to survive the rigors of minor league baseball.
The middle knuckles are aligned in a proper grip. The hitter can turn his top hand so its middle knuckles are slightly Hitting for Average off-center (toward the bottom knuckles), but not to the point where they are aligned with the bottom knuckles. Lining up the middle knuckles keeps the bat in the fingers and gives the swing balance, maximizing strength, quickness, and bat control. In order to have good barrel accuracy (striking the ball with the barrel of the bat), a hitter must control the head of the bat.
Or does he have to commit early to his swing? Players who swing and miss will have difficulty hitting for high average. —Steve Smith, head baseball coach, Baylor University Hip Rotation The rotation of the hips provides two primary benefits to the swing. First, it speeds up the bat and engages the lower half of the body (legs, lower back, abdominal muscles). This gives the hitter more bat speed and power. Second, it clears a path for the hands to take a direct route to the ball. The opportunity for the hitter to deliver a short, punishing swing enables him to see the ball a little longer before committing his hands to the swing.